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MAP syndicate forecasts as at 30 September 2024

 

Managing agents will be releasing updated forecasts for the 2022 and 2023 underwriting years over the next two weeks.

Managing Agency Partners Limited is the first managing agency to provide us with updated forecasts for its managed syndicates. These are as follows:

Syndicate 2791

Year of account

Capacity
£000s

Updated Forecast

Previous Forecast
Range

Change at
Midpoint

2022

400,265

10.0% to 15.0%

8.0% to 13.0%

2.0 points better

2023

473,906

25.0% to 32.5%

22.5% to 30.0%

2.5 points better

SPA 6103

Year of account

Capacity
£000s

Updated Forecast

Previous Forecast
Range

Change at
Midpoint

2022

65,785

-7.0% to -2.0%

-7.0% to -2.0%

unchanged

2023

70,920

42.5% to 50.0%

40.0% to 50.0%

1.3 points better

Forecasts are expressed as a proportion of syndicate capacity and are after the deduction of all standard personal expenses but before members’ agents fees and charges.

Forecasts are based on data to 30 September 2024 and are using exchange rates of US$1.34:£1 and Can$1.81:£1.Rates at 30 June 2024 were US$1.26:£1 and Can$1.73:£1.  All other things remaining equal, the strengthening of sterling in the past quarter will act to reduce profit when expressed as a percentage of capacity.

Lloyd’s will release the full schedule of forecasts on Wednesday 20th November. Most managing agents provide forecasts to us ahead of this date. 

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